INCREASE YOUR BUSINESS FORECASTING ACCURACY WITH RISKTURN!

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COMPREHENSIVE

Get a complete picture of future Cash Flow uncertainties


RISKTURN calculates the Cash Flow at Risk (CFaR) that shows future cash flow values at a given level of confidence (Percentile 10%, Percentile 50%,…)

CFaR is the result of all financial and time variable combinations. RISKTURN’s holistic approach guarantees the realism of the investment valuation
Cash Flow at Risk (CFaR)
Cumulative DCF scenarios at different level of confidence

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USER FRIENDLY

Get a complete assessment of multiple risks on capital budgeting in just one click


Investigate the results through dynamic thresholds


The risk-based representation of DCF, NPV, ROI, IRR and Pay Back Time provides highly valuable information for the investment valuation, such as:
  • The probability to reach a given target (example: 88% probability to have a positive NPV)
  • The Value at Risk of the investment (VaR) to be compared with a given level of risk acceptability (example: Investment NPV value at P95 is -15 M$)
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Net Present Value (NPV)
Cumulative distribution of probability to achieve a given economic value
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RELIABLE

Get an accurate measurement of your main investment threats and opportunities


The Monte Carlo simulation provides a sensitivity diagram that reports the relative weight of most significant risk drivers

RISKTURN helps you focus on the main drivers affecting the investment profitability and optimize your resources in mitigating them

Sensitivity Analysis
Main risks affecting NPV

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POWERFUL

Compare several investment opportunities or alternatives on a risk-basis


RISKTURN helps you to manage a portfolio of projects and benchmark them on any investment evaluation criteria


Projects alternatives or options can be compared from a probabilistic perspective (example: how the introduction of an alternative contractual strategy can reduce the overall risk exposure and increase the probability to reach a given IRR target)

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Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Cumulative distribution of probability to achieve a given IRR value
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SMART

Enhance the communication of your results


Export any result in a preformatted XLS or PPT files, to enhance communication


Display the risk details to increase visibility and confidence on your capital budgeting analysis


Create outstanding analytics on any investment project
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CREATE YOUR PROJECT

Get started: name and contextualize your investment


Complete the project description with the necessary information


Create alternate versions to your base case


Enhance your productivity by authorizing other users to collaborate on the business plan
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TIMELINE

Define the duration of your investment over macro phases


Set start/end dates of each project phase by dragging the timetable bars


Define the lag/overlap between the phases and properly manage potential time shifts


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CASH FLOW

Input your project’s financial flows with the RISKTURN intuitive built-in cash flow template


Special features are available to identify any urgent business realities:
  • Time Dependency (fixed or variable)
  • Depreciation & Amortization
  • Composite cash flow items by quantity and unit price
Import and Export cash flow model in MS Excel
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RISKS

Use the intuitive interface to determine your investment uncertainties as threats or opportunities


Set the probability and impact distributions of any risk or opportunity with the potential to affect your project profitability


Take advantage of RISKTURN’s unique features


Detail financial risks (example: cost overrun)
Detail planing risks (example: planning delays)

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YOUR RESULTS

Run the Monte-Carlo simulation: in less than one minute RISKTURN’s calculation engine runs 10,000 possible cash flows to deliver meaningful results to decision makers


Increase visibility and confidence through probabilistic calculation of capital budgeting indicators: DCF, NPV, ROI, IRR, Pay Back Time, ...


Understand investment decision drivers through sensitivity analysis


Benchmark results from multiple project versions


Take advantage of explicit graphics and tailored interpretations of your results in order to support your decisions


Export in Excel and Power Point format your graphs to communicate your results.
Solutions
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